Esteban Ezequiel Maito
El artículo presenta estimaciones de la tasa de ganancia para catorce países en el largo plazo. La rentabilidad muestra una clara tendencia descendente, si bien existen períodos de recuperación parcial, tanto en los países centrales como en los periféricos. El comportamiento de la tasa de ganancia confirma así las previsiones hechas por Marx de su tendencia y la transitoriedad histórica del modo de producción. Finalmente, se realiza una estimación de la tasa de ganancia mundial para las últimas décadas, destacándose también el papel particular de China en la rentabilidad sistémica durante el último decenio.
Palabras clave: Tasa de ganancia – Marx – Modo de producción.
This article presents profit rate estimates in fourteen countries on the long term. Profitability shows a clear downward trend, although there are recovery periods, both in core and peripheral countries. The profit rate trend confirms Marx predictions and the historic transience of capitalist mode of production. Finally, it’s done an estimate of the world profit rate for the last decades, also highlighting the function of China in systemic profitability in recent years.
Keywords: Profit rate – Marx – Mode of production. Leer más en el blog Marxismo Crítico
May 19, 2013
Michael Heinrich is an exponent of what is known as the ‘New German Reading of Marx’, which interprets the theory of value that Marx presents in Capital as a socially specific theory of ‘impersonal social domination’. He is a collaborator on the MEGA edition of Marx and Engel’s complete works and has published several philological studies of Capital. He has also authored a work on Marx’s theory of value, The Science of Value, which is forthcoming in the Historical Materialism book series. And recently he has published An Introduction to all Three Volumes of Capital as his first full-length work to appear in English.
I am not going to do a critique of Heinrich’s views on the theory of value, as this has been done by Guglielmo Carchedi in his book, Behind the Crisis (see chapter 2). But I am moved to respond to a recent article of Heinrich’s in the American Monthly Review, entitled Crisis theory, the law of the tendency of the rate of profit to fall and Marx’s studies in the 1870s (monthlyreview.org-Crisis_Theory_the_Law_of_the_Tendency_of_the_Profit_Rate_to_Fall_and_Marxs_Studies_in_the_1870s__Mont).
In this article, Heinrich makes the following points: 1) Marx’s law is inconsistent because its categories are indeterminate; 2) it is empirically unproven and even unjustifiable on any measure of verification; 3) Engels badly edited Marx’s works to distort his view on the law in Capital Vol 3; 4) Marx himself in his later works of the 1870s began to have doubts about the law as the cause of crises and started to abandon it in favour of some theory that took into account credit, interest rates and the problem of realisation (similar to Keynesian theory); 5) Marx died before he could present these revisions of his crisis theory, so there is no coherent Marxist theory of crisis. (más…)
Abstract The relevance of Marx’s theory of value and his ‘law of the tendency of the rate of profit to fall’ to the analysis of the financial crisis of 2007–8 and the ensuing global slump is affirmed. The hypertrophic growth of unproductive constant capital, including the wages of ‘socially necessary’ unproductive labour and tax revenues, is identified as an important manifestation of an historical-structural crisis of capitalism, alongside the increasing weight of fictitious capital and the proliferation of fictitious profits in the lead-up to the financial crisis. These phenomena have obscured the deepest roots of the global slump in the long-term profitability problems of productive capital – that is, in a crisis of surplus-value production. With these considerations taken into account, a better empirical assessment of trends in the composition of capital becomes possible, and with it a more accurate understanding of the impact of the ongoing displacement of living labour from production on the average rate of profit and the future of US and global capitalism.
Affiliations: 1: Brock University firstname.lastname@example.org ; 2: Brock University email@example.com
Ganancias y crisis o recesiones en EUA
Tapia Granados, José A. “ Statistical Evidence of Falling Profits as Cause of Recession A Short Note”, Review of Radical Political Economics December 2012 vol. 44 no. 4 484-493.
Data on 251 quarters of the U.S. economy show that recessions are preceded by declines in profits. Profits stop growing and start falling four or five quarters before a recession. They strongly recover immediately after the recession. Since investment is to a large extent determined by profitability and investment is a major component of demand, the fall in profits leading to a fall in investment, in turn leading to a fall in demand, seems to be a basic mechanism in the causation of recessions.
Esta nota parte de una pregunta: ¿cuál ha sido el efecto de cinco años de crisis en el reparto del valor añadido? La respuesta a esta pregunta tiene que tener en cuenta el impacto de las políticas de austeridad fiscal. La consideración conjunta de estas dos cuestiones plantea un doble dilema que permite comprender mejor la “regulación caótica” en la que ha caído Europa.
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